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RolStoppable said:
t3mporary_126 said:

They are not similar but Switch faces a stronger competition with an established PS4 and Xbox One system in the market. The Wii U only had to face PS3 and 360 at that time. That's why it's important to do better than the Wii U sales in its fall season even though the Switch has released in a later date than Wii U. 

What?

The Wii U got in the position that it found itself between low-end options (PS3, 360) and upcoming high-end options (PS4, XB1) for the same kind of games. Switch is positioned as neither low-end or high-end, because it's a console that stands on its own.

Another crucial difference is that Wii U saw its software pipeline being shattered to pieces because third parties either didn't show up or quickly abandoned the console, and Nintendo themselves also had to support the 3DS on the side. Switch is going to get all of Nintendo's games, so even if third parties are hesitant, Nintendo's own output ensures that a price drop can be effective.

I did factor the price drop in earlier in the OP saying it is needed if it sales less than 4 million in 7 months. But if there is no price drop, I have a suspicion Nintendo will have a standalone Switch tablet for a cheaper price out soon.

The Switch doesnt really stand on it own though when the consumer can either buy a $300 new Switch or $270 PS4 slim with a pack in game. Nintendo needs to prove its new console can perform well even in launch againtst it competitors in their middle of their lifetime because the competitors can afford price cuts more quickly than the new Switch and their libraries will expand even further. This is the problem of releasing a new console in the middle of their competitors' life span and Nintendo is aware of this.