The Nintendo Switch will sell less than the Wii U...

[ICStats]

Pyro as Bill said:

ICStats said:
No, but it'll still sell like shit.

It may sell more than Wii U while cannibalizing the 3DS business. Overall Nintendo's revenues will be in ruins.

Handheld tie ratios are ~half of home console's.

Handheld games are ~66% cost of home console's.

$60 x 10m = $600M

$40 x 5m = $200M

Nintendo could have the same software revenues as 3DS+WiiU with only 40-50m Switch consoles sold (25-35m replace 3DS, 15m to replace WiiU). Hardware prices look like they could be cut without making a loss. 3DS and WiiU don't have subscription revenue.

The 3DS tie ratio is closer to 70% of Wii U.

Handheld games cost less, but also take less development cost than console.