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It's going to have a terrible launch. Zelda fans probably already have a wii u and there is not 1 worth while launch title other than that. I don't see many people paying $300 for a system less powerful than another system with the same price that's packed with a game. Holiday might be positive given the lineup by then, but even then one of the biggest games on the horizon is online and paying to play for 1 game doesn't seem worth it to me, so spla2n might be a pass.
On a side note, i'm not against paying for online play. That shit costs money and i understand that. I'm just saying a subscription is probably not worth playing the 1 title i'd use it for.