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Let's wait for decembers numbers. But if it wins December than I say yes. If it looses than just a maybe. Xbox has Scorpio launching towards the end of the year, but Sony has the pro all year long. In addition to that PS4(so I've been told countless times) has more exclusives. A lot of smaller ones(in my opinion) but it may very well have both an insomniac Spider-Man and god of war this year. Maybe a couple other really big ones but I can't think of them. Xbox has halo wars2, scalebownd, forza, crackdown, and sea of theaves so far. So Sony wins on the games side. They also have marketing deals for the battlefront, destiny 2, rdr2, and call of duty. Those are all the big ones. If it wasn't for those 3rd party deals I would say yes for sure. Microsoft might be able to keep it close till Scorpio arrives which will likely be in November. I really home it releases in September before all those big games come out or it could be too late to make a comeback.

 

 Edit

  if Scorpio comes out above 499 than no it won't win the year. 



Halo MCC will sell 5+ million copies(including digital)

halo 5 will sell 10 million copies(including digital)

x1 will pass ps4 in USA, and UK.