| thismeintiel said: Well, I'm more leaning towards a middling success. Around 30M-60M LT, depending on price. Most core gamers won't care, as they are satisfied with the much more powerful PS4 and XBO. If they want to play an occasional mobile game, their phone/tablet will do just fine. Casuals will have just gotten $50-$150 tablets for Xmas that'll play any mobile game they wish. I think they're going to be turned off by the $249+ price Nintendo is probably going to be asking for this thing. If they do launch at that price, I see more in the ~30-40M range. If they can actually sell it for $199, then it'll be closer to 60M. |
I think it'll sell closer to 60 million (of course that can change depending on how the mobile market contines to evolve and how Nintendo executes), but I think largely you're right.
It's not great as a home console, there are far better options in the PS4/XB1 for that which are going to be similarily priced with better third party support and better versions of said third party games. PS4/XB1 will almost certainly see price drops to $249.99 permamanently next year.
The question is do people even really want to play really complex games on the go? Smartphone games are getting a bit more complex themselves, and I think for a lot of people that's "good enough" for the 15-20 minutes a day they might have to play a video game outside the house. At home they'll have their PS4 or XB1, which also already have thousands of games already available for each and will likely have a large advantage in developer support going forward as well.
