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Miyamotoo said:
Soundwave said:

It looks like it's no.1 this week in Japan and has now sold well on both 3DS and Wii U. 

Nintendo doesn't one off ideas that actually sell this well (and no, Metroid generally does not put up these kinds of sales before someone brings that up). 

Anything from Nintendo that sells 2-3+ million worldwide is pretty much gaurunteed to get more iterations. 

Nintendo's system is fairly simply 

Sub-1 million sales worldwide - No sequel, unless the cost of the game is so low that Nintendo is willing to fund another one (read: low odds)

Over 1 million sales worldwide - Fairly decent chance of a sequel.

1.5-2 million sales woldwide - A very high chance of a sequel

Over 2 million sales worldwide - Sequel gaurunteed. 

Mitigating factors would be if the game had inflated sales due to things like heavy bundling. 

I don't understand what Metroid has anything with Mario Maker!?

Evre 2D Mario platformer has great sales, nothing new here.

To me Mario Maker doesn't seems like new franchise because it's still 2D Mario platformer, to me Mario Maker is more like one time thing, while we will have new type of 2D Mario platformer (not onother NSMB or Mario Maker).

This is a business. There is no "one off" of anything that makes a lot of money. 

They early reports coming in for this week is that Mario Maker had huge sales in Japan this week too .... and Nintendo pays more attention to hot Japanese sellers. 

Mario Maker is going to not only be on Switch it's going to be one of the major releases for the system.