Predict: How many paid downloads will get Super Mario Run get?

[Ganoncrotch]

GProgrammer said:

fleischr said:

I predict about 300 million paid downloads lifetime

Well Done, that is the worst prediction on this forum since that guy predicted the 3DS will sell 500 Million guaranteed

At least there is potentially 500million buyers for the 3ds in the world though even if that would mean 1 in every 4 households in the world having one (given a 4 person per household scenario)

For the 300m sales of Super Mario Run to work out, given 1 billion devices with somewhere between 2 to 9 Apple devices (for a person who has never bought a single thing from them like myself, to 9 Apple devices all using 1 account as per Potato_Hamster's situation) per unique user this 300m sales would need to rival the sales predictions of the Atari 2600 version of E.T. where there was more copies of the game produced than sales of Atari 2600 Hardware, it is a higher prediction of software than hardware (with unique accounts) that can run it.