Predict: How many paid downloads will get Super Mario Run get?

[Ganoncrotch]

ninjapirate42 said:

Ganoncrotch said:

For that figure to be true that would be a 75% attach rate of the game... not only this, but it would mean that people who owned multiple apple devices would download the title on multiple devices. Factoring in multi devices owned by a single person you are suggesting an actual attach rate of over 100% of the user base of people downloading the game.

Well I'm talking about Android downloads as well once that becomes available on that.

Oh right, I am just going by the Apple devices and numbers since those are really the only solid numbers around right now I think.

But keep in mind in all of this that Pokemon Go, the Giant which it was during the first week managed to get 40million downloads on Android/IOS and of that just 7million of them were on Apples platform, that is a free game which was a Global Phenomenon in terms of being on the news, tv and pretty much every social media outlet, managed 7million downloads in July of this year in the first week. Unless a massive % of the 1billion apple device owners have handed their device into the hands of someone who is A. A gamer and B. Willing to buy a $10 app between then and now, then this app is never going to breach 10m paid downloads on IOS and unless buying it becomes law across the globe it is certainly not going to reach the 300m paid downloads that the OP suggests.