Statistically, it should be a mugh bigger difference between #1 and #10 than between #10 and #20. Your presumption that population decreases by 3.8k per spot down is just downright silly. #1 could have a population of 120k while #2 might have a population of 70k, which is much more likely than #1 having a population of 120k and #2 having a population of 116.3k. I'm gonna say your population estimate is likely waaaaaaaaaaay too high.








