November 2016 NPD Thread! Hardware estimates in the OP!

[KBG29]

Barkley said:

KBG29 said:

The best thing Sony and Microsoft could do going forward is release one final PS4 and XBO revision with around 10 - 12TF GPU's, and 16GB of RAM in 2020 with 7nm. Then when 3nm chips arrive in 2023 or 2024 they can deliver consoles with ~25TF, 128GB of on HBM RAM, and large SSD's. This would offer a full generational leap, and truly be a next gen console.

Errr... no I don't think that's a good idea at all. 2020 Should be the start of the next generation at the latest, or they should just go full on iterative. It doesn't make sense to have a machine so much more powerful still be a "PS4".

The thing is, it really isn't that much more powerful. All they will be able to do in 2020 is make a console that can play current PS4 and XBO games at full 4K without any compromise. They will be the same exact games, just PS4 would be 1080p, Pro would be 1440P Checkerboard, and the 2020 machine would be native 4K. It won't be until 2024ish with 3nm that they will be able to do games in 4K with enhancements that push them beyond what PS4 or XBO can handle.A big factor behind this is memory. 5400rpm HDD's can not deliver the data needs of more advanced 4K games, to go beyond PS4 and XBO the next consoles have to have SSD's. That again will not be feasible until 2024. Right now a 2TB SSD cost more than the PS4 Pro, and next gen consoles with a generational leap in graphics at 4K will require more than that.

I obviously have no idea what they will do going forward, but I do know the future of the chip industry, and looking at the raw data, there is no way a PS5 in 2018, 2019, or 2020 will be anywhere near what we have seen in the past. They may very well call them PS5 and XBOX ?, but they won't be the real deal. At that point they basically would just be itteritive , but misusing the next genn identifier to boost sales. I don't see that as a sustainable path. To me, it is better to be honest than to decieve, but we'll just have to wait and see.