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vivster said:
If it's more Mario 64 than 3D World then that should be enough for launch.

Yeah, another underwhelming entry like 3D World won't get them off to a good start, but if it's more along the lines of the series greats (64 and Galaxy) it could be a strong launch title. Not as strong as Breath of the Wild would have been, but better than NSMBU/Nintendoland.