If Nintendo Switch fails this will be Nintendo last console.

[DanneSandin]

awesomeabe1998 said:

DanneSandin said:

You gotta consider that most people that own a Wii U probably also own a 3DS, which means around 60m people have a Nintendo console right now. I think THAT should be their goal. But then again, we need to consider that the handheld market has shrunk by half since the DS days, and we don't know if the Switch can reverse that. First and foremost, it'll cost more than the 3DS, making it a harder sell, and it doesn't offer the same power level as PS4 or Xbox1 (and even less so than the Pro and Scorpio), meaning that hardcore gamers won't buy it for that reason. What will sell the console is the games; a steady flow of Nintendo 1st party games. That alone might make it a secondary console for "core gamers", since you'll get ALL the Nintendo games on it.

I think that 30m means it didn't fail, 40m: it did ok, 50m; it did good, 60m; it did really good, 70m; Nintendo should be celebrating. Put it all comes down to price and games.

I honestly do not think the power level is a HUGE factor. As long as it is close to or on par with XB1 or PS4 then it will be okay. It just comes down to the games and marketing. Im pretty sure almost half of the 3DS install base will probably pick up a Switch because it does what the 3DS does and maybe even better. I think at least 7 million of the Wii U install base will pick up the Switch because they actually bought the Wii U regardless of its many many many flaws. 

I think 50-60 million would be a perfect number to hit. Anything above that is amazing numbers. If it hits 80 million then that will be astonishing.

As long as we're talking about "core gamers", then yeah, it is. Core gamers are really picky about that - it's one of the reasons why PS4 is doing so much better than the X1 right now. People that enjoy Halo, CoD, Battlefield, Battlefront, Uncharted and other games like that won't choose Switch over XB1 or PS4 if it can't compete graphically. Which it won't. What Nintendo needs to do is expand their audience, and I'm not entirely convinced the Switch will be ble to do that to a large enough degree - not will the info we have now.

Yes, 50-60m units sold would be great, and everything else above that is amazing, like you said. Maybe they have some awesome feutures in the Switch we don't know of yet that will push it to even higher numbers.