If Nintendo Switch fails this will be Nintendo last console.

[DanneSandin]

JRPGfan said:

DanneSandin said:
I agree that if it only sell like 10 million units, it'll be a failure and Nintendo will move away from the console market, or become a 3rd party publisher. But that's not gonna happen. I think will a total sell through of 30m Nintendo will be happy, anything above will be a bonus. I'm guessing around 40m when it's all said and done - and that's without knowing price or anything.

Wii U (13m) + 3DS (60m) = 73m+ total.

If the Switch is their new handheld + homeconsole in one, they need to sell 70m+ for it to have really payed off from where they currently are.

Nintendo cant and shouldnt be happy with just 30m sales for the Switch.

You gotta consider that most people that own a Wii U probably also own a 3DS, which means around 60m people have a Nintendo console right now. I think THAT should be their goal. But then again, we need to consider that the handheld market has shrunk by half since the DS days, and we don't know if the Switch can reverse that. First and foremost, it'll cost more than the 3DS, making it a harder sell, and it doesn't offer the same power level as PS4 or Xbox1 (and even less so than the Pro and Scorpio), meaning that hardcore gamers won't buy it for that reason. What will sell the console is the games; a steady flow of Nintendo 1st party games. That alone might make it a secondary console for "core gamers", since you'll get ALL the Nintendo games on it.

I think that 30m means it didn't fail, 40m: it did ok, 50m; it did good, 60m; it did really good, 70m; Nintendo should be celebrating. Put it all comes down to price and games.