Final-Fan said:
Do you realize that a two thirds chance of winning means a one third chance of losing? That's not negligible. |
Worth noting that while I like fivethirtyeight, they are also probably the most generous out of all projections when it comes to Trump. For example, the New York Times gives Clinton an 87% chance of winning and Princeton Election Consortium gives her a 99% chance of winning.
While the Donald does have a shot, a lot would have to change (or there would have to be a pretty massive polling error) for him to win.