By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
Soundwave on 25 October 2016
Edit Thread
zorg1000 said:
Soundwave said:

I think Nintendo would be relatively happy with 50 million. Considering the DS-to-3DS transition cost them like 80 million lost sales in that transition, if they can stem the bleeding from 60-65 million 3DS' to 50 million Switch units, they'll be relatively pleased I think. 

Plus their console franchises will finally have a good size userbase to sell to, the Wii U's low userbase was killing them internally I think it was driving them crazy. They were spending more money to make the games but having a lower userbase to sell them to, getting back to at least a Super NES userbase size would be good. 

To get to that 100 million range you need to have some kind of new IP (or two or three) blow up and really take you there. 

All the Mario & Zelda & Pokemon in the world doesn't get you to 100 million, Nintendo would need something new to really blow up like Wii Sports or Pokemon for the Game Boy. 

No way in hell Nintendo will be happy with 50 million, that will be close to a 40% decline from 3DS+Wii U.

It would be more along the lines of 30% decline, most Wii U owners are the most hardcore Nintendo fans, they likely own a 3DS in many cases as Wii U really failed to break out to a wider audience beyond the same ol' Nintendo fans. 

But their business will be different in the future, Switch is only one pillar, mobile apps will be a huge money maker for them and movies will probably factor into that too. 

50 million Switch + being one of the biggest mobile app makers in the world + movies/merchandising/theme parks > 3DS + Wii U. 

Unified userbase will increase the general sales of games like Splatoon and Mario Maker too. 

I think Switch is a more practical platform designed to "stop the bleeding" as it were from the last gen. The amount of losses they took from the Wii/DS to Wii U/3DS was catastrophic.