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burninmylight on 20 October 2016
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potato_hamster said:
Miyamotoo said:

OK, thats your opinion, but reality is that Switch with Pokemon, Splatoon, Monster Hunter, DQ, Yokai Watch...can hit around 20m only in Japan. Its way to early to prognoze LT sale numbers of Switch, but I can see easily passing 40m.

Actually, it's my opinion.

He're the part you're forgetting or ignoring: Are those games going to make people who never bought a Wii U at $249 or a 3DS at $149 want to turn around and spend $299 (rumored price) to play those games this time? What is the appeal to non-nintendo fans that the Wii U and 3DS didn't provide that's going to convince them to spend even more money?

Because I think they won't. In fact I think that even Nintendo's fans buying less hardware, because apparently they can get the whole Nintendo games library on one device instead of two. How many people do you know that own a Wii U that do not own a 3DS? Because of the very few people I know that own a Wii U, they all own a 3DS. Most of them own multiple 3DSs. There's far less incentive for Nintendo fans to invest in additional hardware this go around than at any previous point before the gameboy.

You may be right, but the flipside to that is this thing may potentially have one of the greatest attach rates ever because a consumer doesn't have to decide between two different Nintendo devices on which to spend. There is no, "Should I get SSB on 3DS or Wii U? Should I get MK7 because I can take it with me, or should I get the superior version in MK8? Should I wait and see if Monster Hunter comes to Wii U, because I'd rather play it on a big screen with a more comfortable controller, or should I suck it up and get it on 3DS?". Nintendo and publishers make one game without worrying about which system to support, and you either buy the game you don't.

Also, let me flip your question around: how many people do you know that own a 3DS that do not own a Wii U? Of those people, how many would gladly acquire Wii U games if they were on the 3DS, but don't to make the financial investment for the console itself, especially when Wii and Wii U games are being ported to the 3DS left and right? The Switch addresses that.

I'm not pretending to know how well the Switch will fair; I have no clue, and my name isn't Michael Pachter. All I'm saying is that I don't see how this thing is doomed for instant failure.