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I don't think Wii U is the metric Nintendo is looking at with NX.

It needs to sell close-ish to the 3DS, if it's too far below that Nintendo will likely be very upset.

It's gotta be 40 million minimum. And they are going to have to work hard to get that.

Just outselling the Wii U or even GameCube isn't nearly good enough, now that it is a portable device it has to be comparable to Nintendo's previous portable benchmark.