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One of Wii U's biggest handicaps was its painfully slow start; it didn't get its first true system seller until a year and a half after launch, and by then it was too late.

NX needs to come out of the gate firing on all cylinders; if it's plagued by the same Saharan game droughts that crippled Wii U, then it will fail. Ideally, either Mario Kart 9 or Splat2n should be their holiday tentpole for 2017.

The problem is, Nintendo keeps saying "oh, we've worked hard to make sure that this time we won't have game droughts like our last system", yet it keeps on happening.