RolStoppable said:
Because of conventional wisdom. It goes like this: Handhelds are dead. What is a 3DS? Nintendo didn't even sell 15m units of video game hardware this generation. How hard is it to push a cow over? Nobody cares about Nintendo games anymore. Regardless of what Nintendo will do, no more than 25m lifetime for NX. I am being optimistic here. Louie, you probably hadn't visited VGC for years before you returned. It must be like coming to an alien planet because so many people here seem to be detached from reality. But that's what years of repetition do, eventually things become accepted as truth. If so many people are saying the same thing, then it has to be true, right? |
Well, yeah, pretty much this. When I was active on the forums during the Wii generation people in the industry and gaming websites heavily tried to push the mantra that "Nintendo's bubble is about to burst" and "Nintendo needs to focus on the hardcore gamers" but I never thought that marketing message would become so ingrained in gamer's minds.
I can understand people being pessimistic about Nintendo after this generation but almost 50% of people in the poll voted 30m units or lower - which has absolutely no logical basis, it merely shows what people hope (or fear) will happen. Sure, if NX basically is a Wii U gamepad sized handheld that is horribly designed (= doesn't do any job for consumers and is bad as both a handheld and a home console) I could see it fail and sell less than 30m units. But if someone asks me for my Playstation 5 sales prediction I won't assume Sony is totally gonna screw this thing up and sell some monstrosity of a game console that nobody wants for $700+. We shouldn't use the most pessimistic of cases as our new normal.
