Slimebeast on 23 May 2008
| Sky Render said: Are those assumptions still around that the HD consoles will somehow defy the odds and maintain perfect market inertia? I never quite got that sort of mindset. They've both been on an overall downward curve for a while now (the 360 especially, the PS3 slightly), and even the most anticipated 'core market game of 2008 couldn't keep them boosted. Seriously, don't expect the 360 to ever even come close to 50 million; it will be lucky to break 30 million, given the slowdown in demand for it. The PS3 is a harder one to spot for certain, since it's not yet hit its peak in Europe and is only now hitting its peak in America, but the 360's peak has come and gone in all 3 regions. It's all a steady downhill ride from here for it, over the next half-decade (or less if MS discontinues it like they did the original XBOX). |
You are wrong. 50 million for the X360 is far more likely than 30 million. You draw too many conclusions from just one month of sales.
Did you miss the info here? http://vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=792566
The original Xbox sold 24 million. A serious sales analysis shows that the X360 is still on track to double that, especially if you consider the overall sales so far in the year 2008. Even if you concentrate on the disappointing April NPD USA numbers, you'll discover a year-over-year increse. We might be right in the middle of the X360s sales peak right now, who knows, but "the peak has come and gone in all 3 regions" contradicts all availabe data (especially Euro-data).
