Shadow1980 said:
There's no way to know for sure because we don't know what the overall growth rate for digital is. Some games that have a massive chunk of their sales coming from digital (e.g., Halo 5, which I estimate to be around 40% digital globally including bundled copies, which are pretty much all digital these days) are statistical outliers to the overall market. While I haven't seen anything for 2015 yet, a DFC Intelligence report from early last year indicated that for all retail-release titles sold in 2014 in the U.S., nearly 95% of copies sold were physical. While we can't make assumptions about the growth rate of digital on consoles, and we're lacking digital-to-physical ratio data from other regions, the fact that as recent as 2014 less than 6% of all sales were digital is not very encouraging news for digital's overall near-term prospects in the console market. |
ZhugeEX said:
Considering the US was around ~25% a year or so back, and now at ~35% this year, I wouldn't expect it to take too long for that to happen. It won't happen tonight though, I'd give it a few more years in the U.S. at least. Countries outside the US have always been behind the curve though when it comes to digital adoption so I imagine it'll take them longer. |
Greatly appreciate the reply ZhugeEX. This is my thinking also but nice to get the opinion of somebody that knows a lot about sales data.
So you opinion Shadow is that digital will have a more steady increase than what ZhugeEX is suggesting?
