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the_dark_lewd said:
Depends how good the console is really. Zelda will definitely help though.

Exactly.  This is what I'm getting at.

It's true that Zelda doesn't have the sales numbers that other Nintendo IPs do, but it is a very highly revered and respected franchise.  A brand new, never before released Zelda at launch does make a pretty strong statement.  Remember, nobody is saying that BOTW itself will hit 10m pretty quickly, but having it at launch does help to provide faith in a new system.

And as someone else said, the Wii and the PS4 may be the only consoles able to boast selling 13m+ in their first year, but if XB1 had had a better launch price it might have achieved it as well.  And the PS2 would have soared past that number had it not been for massive shortages.  Also take into account that NX is not launching against any new systems either (systems with brand-new games anyway).

Finally, as dark_lewd said, it is still mostly dependent on the NX itself being a hit with a strong launch lineup, a good price, and its overall direction.  Seeing as how this is make or break for Nintendo, I'm being optimistic that it could reach the 13m mark by the end of March 2018.  But it could just as easily be the WiiU all over again (albeit with a better launch title).  Time will tell.