| wombat123 said: 30m if it's console only, 100m if it's a handheld and console. The Wii U and 3DS are probably going to reach 75-80m combined when both are discontinued with the Wii U seen as a failure and the 3DS seen as a disappointment when compared to past handhelds. If the NX can't even come close to those numbers if it's both a handheld and console, then it's a failure. |
100 mill might be a tough mountain to climb, we likely haven't seen the bottom of the portable decline. Tablets just get cheaper every year and the cheap tablets get better each year, ditto for phones. 3DS still had the benefit of the app market being in its infancy circa 2011/2012 and a kid having a $600 iPad was a rarity as it was a luxury item at first (now you can get tablets for under $100).
30 mill would be a very solid number for a home Nintendo model ... Nintendo made a lot of money with the N64.
I'm thinking maybe 40-50 mill for the portable NX and 25-30 mill for the Wii U combined with mobile revenues in the range of $700 mill-$1 billion/year would allow Nintendo to make very handsome profits.
Unified platform is a game changer for software sales too, we have to remember that, even if NX "only" sells 70 million say between all its hardware iterations, for games like Splatoon 2 and Legend of Zelda NX that would've been looking at 15-18 million on the Wii U ... this is a huge improvement.
Third parties as well will be more apt to support a Nintendo ecosytem that has that large of a userbase, they probably wouldn't be anyone's no.1 aside from Capcom for the Monster Hunter series, but 70 mill (even 60 mill) but still good enough to get good support.
