Prediction: NX will do better than N64 and outsell X1 lifetime...

[Soundwave]

zorg1000 said:

Soundwave said:

The bigger question is where is this market going and its been declining hard in the Americas and Europe, the second half of the 3DS cycle has not been strong in the West hardware sales wise. NX won't have the benefit of smartphones/tablets still being a relative luxury item for adults-mostly when it launches like the 3DS did.

I'm glad you brought up the decline from 1st half to 2nd half of 3DS life, did you know that it has had a more sever drop in Japan?

3DS shipments in Japan

February 2011 to September 2013-13.33 million

October 2013 to March 2016-7.99 million

3DS shipments outside Japan

March 2011 to September 2013-21.65 million

October 2013 to March 2016-15.88 million

Thats about a 40% decline in Japan vs a 27% decline outside of Japan.

Not sure if either of those numbers are great for Nintendo, lol. They need Japan to hold at 20 million Nintendo portables, if that starts to decline below that ... they have problems.

In the West the 3DS never really ever was a monster seller. It had that nice spike for its first holiday after Nintendo made the monster price cut and Mario Kart 7 + Mario 3D Land ... but that was basically the peak holiday season I think.