Can Nintendo catch Sony?

[Final-Fan]

kenzomatic said:

Kasz216 said:

Final-Fan said:

jonager said:
u cant compare NES SNES n64 CG Wii vs PS1 PS2 PS3 that makes 5 vs 3 wich is not fair
u gotta compare n64 cg wii vs ps 1 2 3 and ull see how bad nintendo did in the last 10 yrs ec for wii of course

How about this: NES, SNES, and Wii versus PS1, PS2, PS3? This is a much more interesting fight; currently 137m vs. 233m. I predict that The total will end up close but with the PlayStations higher; specifically, that the Wii will end up 80-100m higher than the PS3 (including its current 13m lead). That is not enough for the selected Nintendo consoles to win, especially since the PS2 is still selling.

That in itself isn't really fair since the PS1 and the PS2 reaped the rewards of what the NES and SNES laid the groundwork for.

5 vs 3 as it may be it's the more "fair" comparison.

Otherwise it's like measuring time running through the snow... the NES and SNES went first, therefore there was less resistance for the playstation consoles.

I have to agree with Kasz,

I mean I guess you could compare the average market percentages and that might be a little more fair.

By request, but so "quick and dirty" it's probably worthless:

NES 62m
Others 13+7 (est. miscellany)
76% if 20m others

Note: This era is pretty fuzzy for counting generations; the 2600 was a highly successful zombie while the Genesis and TG16 both straddled the NES' and SNES' lifetimes. I put the TG16 and Genesis both into competition only with the SNES for this, and did not consider 2600 sales.

SNES 49m
Others 31+2+10+5 (est. miscellany)
51%

N64 33
PS 102
Others 9+5 (est. miscellany)
22%
68%

GC 22
PS2 135 (est.)
Others 25+9
12%
71%

GUESSES
Wii 150
PS3 50-70
360 40-50
63-56%
21-26%