| Sharu said: Anything could be, I agree. But the fact we have that its almost 2 years passed and no final results of the official investigation are public yet. |
From Wikipedia:
The final report by the official investigation team, led by the Dutch Safety board, was presented on 13 October 2015. It concluded that
- The plane was brought down by a warhead that detonated outside the front of the plane, causing structural damage to the front followed by mid-air breakup of the plane.[121]
- The warhead was carried on a type of missile used in Russian built BUK systems.[121]
- The impact killed the cockpit crew, and that no evidence of any conscious action of any passenger on the plane was recorded after impact. Although it cannot be ruled out that some passengers may have been conscious during the fall.[122]
- Identified a large area of 320 square kilometers near Snizhne from which the missile could have been fired.[121]
- Considering the number of shot down aircraft, the risk assessment by all involved parties was inadequate. Ukrainian air traffic control should have closed the air space, Malaysia Airlines should have chosen an alternative route, and other parties such as the International Civil Aviation Organization did not sufficiently account for risks of flying over conflict areas.[121]
The Dutch Safety Board issued its final report into the crash on 13 October 2015. There were 61 flight operators from 32 countries who flew over eastern Ukraine at the time, all who thought it was safe to fly there at cruising altitude. In the DSB's opinion, there was sufficient reason to fully close the airspace over eastern Ukraine as a precaution. The DSB recommended that states involved in armed conflicts should exercise more caution when evaluating their airspace, and operators should be more transparent into their methods of selecting flight routes.
They found the crash was caused by a Buk surface-to-air 9M38-series missile with 9N314M warhead. The missile hit the left side of the cockpit and fired fragments, killing all the flight crew. The cockpit was then torn off by the impact, which meant it was likely that most passengers were unconscious by this time due to lack of oxygen. Based on evidence they were able to exclude meteor strikes, the plane having technical defects, a bomb, and an air-to-air attack as causes of the crash. The DSB calculated the trajectory of the missile and found it was fired within a 320-square-kilometre (120 sq mi) area southeast of Torez. Narrowing down a specific launch site was outside the DSB's mandate.[28] According to Al Jazeera, the area identified by the DSB was controlled by separatists at the time of the downing.[227]
I don't know why you think the final results aren't public when I found them within five minutes of looking on the Internet. If you don't believe Wikipedia, then try going directly the Dutch Safety Board which published their investigation just as Wikipedia says. The site is in Dutch and English; I don't know if a Russian translation is available directly from them.
The overall crash website: http://onderzoeksraad.nl/en/onderzoek/2049/investigation-crash-mh17-17-july-2014
The main report PDF (there are several PDFs that make up the complete report—appendices and so on):
http://onderzoeksraad.nl/uploads/phase-docs/1006/debcd724fe7breport-mh17-crash.pdf
(The part we are most interested in can be found on pages 116-137.)
From page 137:
The combination of the recorded pressure wave, the damage pattern found on the
wreckage caused by blast and the impact of fragments, the bow-tie shaped
fragments found in the cockpit and in the body of one of the crew members in the
cockpit, the injuries sustained by three crew members in the cockpit, the analysis of
the in-flight break-up, the analysis of the explosive residues and paint found, and the
size and distinct, bow-tie, shape of some the fragments, led the Dutch Safety Board
to conclude that the aeroplane was struck by a 9N314M warhead as carried on a
9M38-series missile and launched by a Buk surface-to-air missile system.
Their final report is public and it is very specific. Surface to air missile and not air to air. Specifically one type of missile that produces the kind of damage that was on the wreckage and which is used with Buk surface-to-air missile systems.
Tag (courtesy of fkusumot): "Please feel free -- nay, I encourage you -- to offer rebuttal."
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My advice to fanboys: Brag about stuff that's true, not about stuff that's false. Predict stuff that's likely, not stuff that's unlikely. You will be happier, and we will be happier.
"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts." - Sen. Pat Moynihan
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