In Japan, the 360 sold 100k units in December 2006, and week over week, the 360 is tracking 100% above last years, and for all purposes, Lost Odyssey will be a bit bigger than Blue Dragon was last year. LO might (or should) launch a week earlier, therefore affecting sales in Dec. longer.
My rank on the prediction league wouldn't slide on 1 prediction. The past 4 weeks, I've been in the top 5, 3 out of 4 times.
Again, my prediction numbers (17.5m for 360 and 17.0m for Wii) are based on the X360 getting a September price drop, and selling briskly for the rest of the year, driven by massive (4m in NA for Sept-Dec) and 2.5m in Europe + another 250k in Japan in the same timeframe. Impossible given current numbers, but I believe a price drop + GTAIV/H3 will be the biggest boost to a single console in history (next to FFVII on PS1).
My Wii prediction is based on Nintendo basically selling near 100% of their systems up until that time. I put 17m down far before Nintendo announced their goal of 20m systems shipped by March, which would put 17m pretty much at 100% accuracy by December 31st.
So overall, I'm not afraid one bit about my X360 and Wii predictions. The only one I know I'm off is the DS. I put it @ either 54.5 or 52.5m. It'll proably track closer to 57.5~60m by the EOY if Nintendo can send enough systems to Japan.
We'll see how accurate I am in a week, as June will be over, and we can tally scores from the Apr to June prediction league. And I'm the only one that had Brain Training for the Wii pegged at 50k for 2 weeks :)
Back from the dead, I'm afraid.
