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I don't know why people think that it isn't possible for PS4 to beat PS3. There is no real competition for Playstation this generation (this also means PS4 will have all the great third-party support => maybe Monster Hunter or Youkai Watch?). And as of now PS4 also sold better than PS3. And PS4 hasn't even got the big games yet (Final Fantasy XV, Final Fantasy VII Remake, Kingdom Hearts 3, Dragon Quest XI...). As of now it is very hard to tell how much PS4 will end lifetime. I think something between 8-12M seems like a safe bet.