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The Xbox 360 has sold 6,400,000 units after 18 months on the market so I think that it is highly unlikely that it will sell another 4,885,000 in 6 months; essentially you're suggesting that it will sell 75% as many units as it has to date in 33% of the time (or that it will sell at approximately 2.3 times its average rate over the next 6 months).