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Wow here's a good paper if anyone can be bothered reading it:

http://science.sciencemag.org/content/318/5850/629.full

You have to subscribe to read it (yes, I'm nerding out on climate change), but it explains quite well why the climate models have not been particularly accurate. Basically, because despite the huge increases they've had in research and computing power, climate scientists are still just as unable to predict climate sensitivity to Co2 as they were 30 years ago.

Very telling....We're not as clever as we think we are.