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I guess one of the lessons Nintendo is going to have learned this generation is they need to be more willing to try new franchises and to really put actual marketing/effort behind them.

The Wii U is not going to be a success for them, even in Japan, but Splatoon is showing them that betting everything on Mario Kart + Smash every time was not a sound strategy.

I feel its more likely that Splatoon 2 will be out very early in the NX cycle in part because of the Japanese market.