Pachter is a Hater

[Zkuq]

SpokenTruth said:

Zkuq said:

That was an example, I thought it was obvious... Apparently not. Shall I explain the example in even simpler terms? Also, you seems to have statistics available since you're so sure he's right 10 % of the time. Would you mind sharing them?

The need for exact figures misses the point.  Just type into Google "pachter is wrong".

Are you seriously either not familiar with him or actually sticking up for him?  I really want to know.

Oh, I'm familiar with him. I just don't trust gut feelings and such. He gets a lot of publicity, and thus even his incorrect predictions gain more publicity. For all I know, he could have a ton of successful predictions, but because people always focus on his incorrect predictions, it's hard to know how often he's actually right or wrong. Like I said, if he has a hundred incorrect predictions but makes a thousand predictions in total, that's a lot of incorrect predictions but the success rate is still 90 %. It's the ration of incorrect and correct predictions that matters, not the absolute number of incorrect predictions. Unless you can tell how often he's right/how many predictions he makes in total, the number of his incorrect predictions is absolutely and utterly worthless.