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Nem said:
Soundwave said:

What game was better for the PSP launch? That had a great launch in 2004 (sold actually better than the DS out of the gates). You wanna know why? No one had a freaking smartphone that could surf the internet, had a HD display, take/edit/post photos and video, had Facebook/Instagram/Twitter, could play games, play music, and do 50 other things in their pocket. 

In 2004/5, the extent of "entertainment" on a cell phone for most people was similar to this:

Maybe if you were real lucky your phone had some shitty version of one-handed Tetris on it. 

People forget now, but I remember even in 2004/5 when the first phones started to get a camera on them ... a crap 1.2 megapixel camera, how amazed people were at that idea. Or that pre-iPhone "iTunes" Motorola phone that could play like 15 songs, lol. People used to be amazed at that. 


I think no one is disputing the fact that casuals moved away, but the fact that Sony was incapable of tapping the gamer segment. The same segment that still buys 50m 3DS'.

Thought experiment with me for a moment.

Lets consider a reasonable scenario. The Vita selling in proportion to the PSP with the DS.

That is 155 million DS to 81 million PSP, or a total market size of 236 million HH. PSP sold about 52% of what the DS did.

3DS has sold 54 mill LTD to 12 mill Vita LTD, cordin 2 vgchartz. Vita sold about 22% less of what the 3DS did.

To stay in proportion it would have to sell about 28 million or more than double what it has now.

 

This of course, assumes that the market size is at least 82 million.

Is 28 million considered succesful?



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