Predict Pokemon GO download count (I am inevitably right)

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fleischr said:

mZuzek said:
Pokémon was already a huge fad, back on the Game Boy days, and won't ever be as big again.

I don't think any brand recognition will make it have that many downloads.

I don't have enough knowledge of the mobile market to make a decent prediction (as if I ever made good predictions on the gaming market already), but my first guess is around 250m.

At some point, everything old becomes new again.

Because it's such a valuable brand, it instantly gets promoted by Apple, Google, Smartphone makers and retailers carrying those products in addition to Nintendo product.

Don't forget: this can move a piece of wristband hardware as well as AR glasses. Do you not see the huge dollar signs?

You are grossly over-estimating the casual smartphone user's interest in a mobile version of a popular video game on dedicated hardware.