If the NX doesn't come out in 2016, where will the "Nintendo-like" profits come from?

[bunchanumbers]

Soundwave said:

traveler72 said:

So far in 2015, it's flat YOY. And the numbers you show (even the "future" ones) show a slow decline, not a fast one like it was mentioned on the post I quoted.

Nintendo can wait for up to early 2017 to release a new handheld, but 2016 is indeed ideal. Next home console should come in 2017.

They need to move quickly in handheld, they longer they wait the more irrelevant their portable brand becomes to the new generation of kids who simply are not growing up with a DS/Game Boy any longer. Too many parents are saying "just take my iPad and play with games on this" ... the longer they wait, the worse this phenmenon gets. 

Also 8 million hardware shipments is a year is *disastrous* for Nintendo. They haven't had hardware shipments that low since like 1988 or something (as in you have to go back before the Game Boy was invented). If that's not setting off some alarm bells then this photo is probably apt:

Console ... to be honest ... they need a miracle to be relevant again, like the Wiimote was, so that doesn't matter as much. 2016/2017 who knows. They must fight for their handheld marketspace though, if they lose that, then odds are you'll be playing Zelda on XBox and iPad a few years down the line. 

This is why they are developing for Mobile. They are doing all sorts of things that will keep them in the public conscience. "Take my ipad and play games on this" Nintendo will be there. They also will be in theme parks, on the big screen, and available on every smartphone. If Iwata's strategy pays off then irrelevant will not be a factor.