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There's nothing that exists that suggests the NX will be successful. Truth be told, it has many many disadvantages that lead me to believe the NX will be a failure (if it's a console). However the console market is completely unpredictable. No one would have predicted the PS4 would win Gen 8 -people expected the Wii U to be #1 due to price and name brand or the X1 to be #1 because of popularity of the brand in NA and 3rd party deals. This time the strongest and most expensive console is winning (never happened). When it comes to gaming, anyone's guess is valid due to the complete unpredictability of it all