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Ryng on 08 July 2015
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BraLoD said:


I think consistence is the word, not worse legs (legs actually only happen after the console cycle ends, and this gen we had amazing launches, record breaking numbers, it's just natural it won't increase as much in the run, as it's already high to begin with.

I won't go for a yoy, as I don't know how will manage their games in which year, but the XBO will be selling around 30/ 30M+ and the PS4 around 40/ 40M+ plus, depending on how their effect each other, but combined it should be going over 70M when everything is done.

That's wrong. For make a good prediction, the YOY sales are really important.

Extrame example: I can predict Wii U at 50 million lifetime. Is easy withouth the YOY sales. But if we write the YOY sales, only a insane can believe Wii U at 50 million.

The same for all console.

I don't see XBO to break 30 million just because i believe XBO will peak the year in 2015, and will saturate the market in 2017 or so... i already write the reason. The hype for XBO is dropped, and by a lot, if with those promotion and this price is barery above last year. I mean...

Seriusly, if XBO was still at 500$ and withouth the GameStop and Amazon promotion, what the hell was selling now!? Wii U level in the US? PSVita level globally?

:-|

Also, about the PS4, is currently down YOY. not only, it is selling less than PS3 in the same period:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=202511&page=1#

But as i said, the PS4 is more reasonable, because is still at 400$ and bla bla bla ecc...

40 million for PS4 is still too much for me. Those are the 360 and Wii level... and in both case, i don't see happening.

Wii: because the strong firsts yearly sales, 500k all NPD in 2008.

360: because the massive legs, and 300k all NPD in 2011.