Is the XB1 at 11 million sold by end of 2014?

[Puppyroach]

Op

ZhugeEX said:

Puppyroach said:

It is kind of hard to figure out how much X1 has shipped, but my reasoning is this:

We know the combined shipments for X1+X360, and separate shipments for the first two quarters when they were on the market. We can also safely assume that X1´s part of total shipments will increase as time goes by, but I have been a bit moderate with the relative growth. Here are my approximations on X1´s part of total shipments based of the first to quarters that we know of. Considering X1 had a very succesful december, I believe 360 fell even more, but I have calculated with a 70:30 ratio for simplicity. this would put X1 shipments at 12mn by dec31st.

		X1	XBOX360	Total	%X1
Q114	Jul-Sep13	0.0	1.2	1.2	0%
Q214	Oct-Dec13	3.9	3.5	7.4	53%
Q314	Jan-Mar14	1.2	0.8	2	60%
Q414	Apr-Jun14	0.7	0.4	1.1	63%
Q115	Jul-Sep14	1.6	0.8	2.4	67%
Q215	Oct-Dec14	4.6	2.0	6.6	70%
Q315	Jan-Mar15	1.2	0.4	1.6	73%

It is therefore pretty safe to assume it stand at atleast 11mn sold by Dec31st.

This is called making things up. 

 

Therefore it's not safe to assume anything. 

Well, all we do in this. thread is guesswork since no one knows the exact numbers besides MS. My numbers, however, would fit very well with VGC and a reasonable drop-off for 360 YOY. So what are your objections?