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potato_hamster on 08 June 2015
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johnlucas said:
potato_hamster said:


This is more of the same crap. Your "end game" is combining Wii U and 3DS sales since it will be a "unified experience". Wii U sales are 3DS sales. 3DS sales are Wii U sales. It's a pile of baloney.

By the way, that 900K a is best case scenario that takes an extreme about of optimism. A realistic scnario is around 500K. I'm sure you'll find some way to justify it when North America sales come out to be barely above Japan's numbers.


You sure like to put words in people's mouths, don't you?

When I talk about Wii U, I talk about Wii U.
You have never heard me talk about combining both Wii U & 3DS.
And doggone right, I STILL maintain that Wii U dominates this generation.

I wouldn't get too attached to PS4's run right now. They're very vulnerable & the effects will show this year.
They were already showing cracks last year as exampled in XBox One's total turnaround last Holiday season.

Believe what you wish. But you'll be calling my baloney 'filet mignon' when the 8th generation ends.

But that's another discussion for an as-of now locked topic.

On THIS topic, I await Nintendo's report.
Splatoon did amazing in America too & when you do amazing in America, the 3rd most populous nation on Planet Earth, amazing goes a long way.

If Splatoon only sells 900 thousand worldwide instead of a full 1 million, you can have your laugh at me but you won't feel that good about it.
I'll just be "Aw shucks. Only missed it by a few thousand. Dagnabbit." Hahahahahaha!

No matter what t-bone got his prediction either way.
If I was him I would have shot for 2 million in June but I like to live dangerously.
1 million in June was always an easy bet. Splatoon smelled like a phenomenon the moment it hit that E3 2014 Digital Event.

John Lucas

Define "Wii U". Are you solely and exlusively talking about the home console with a controller that has a screen in the middle of it, that is, what the average console video game player would know to be a "Wii U" at this time? Is that exclusively what you're referring to when you say the "Wiii U" will sell 240 million lifetime?


So, best case scenario, you expect the Wii U to sell 230 million units in the next 2-3 years (because you do know another Nintendo home console is coming soon right? Nintendo tends to release a new home console every 5-6 years, and the Wii U is half way through year 3) That would be 76-115M per year, out of absolutely nowhere. Right now Wii U sales are at 9.7 million and has been on sale for approximately 30 months. That is an average of about 325K per month. What on this planet is going to lead to an explosion of an additional 6 million to 9.2 million sales per month?  Even if the Wii U was going to be the flagship home console for the next 6 years (giving the console a life cycle as the primary home console of about 9 years), it would have to sell an average of 3 million consoles per month, or about 10 times the sales of what it is doing right now.

I'm pretty sure Nintendo could annouce that it will send you free access to the entire Wii U library for free from now until the end of time and they wouldn't sell at the rate you'd require to meet the sales you're suggesting for it to meet your targets.

Splatoon will not sell 900K worldwide for the month of may, much less 1 million. How low would splatoon sales have to be for you to consider your prediction wrong?