binary solo said:
It might have a great 2nd week relative to most game's second weeks, but it will still have an expected 2nd week drop of substantial proportions (50% or more). Most games only get 1-3 days of sales on their opening week, so 3 days for the first week means nothing in terms of second week sales. Only the shipment issue can have an effect and that's only if a large proportion of people who wanted it first week didn't get it. I'm picking that 6.5% of the Wii U install base buying Splatoon week 1 is a high % of the install base for a new IP, which means there probably isn;t all that much carry over demand from people who wanted it week 1 and couldn't get get it. Week 2 should be 75K or less. Wobbly legs (or failure to resupply) if it drops below 40K. Good start, and a decent boost for hardware. |
I predict under 40,000 next week, but not, will have massive legs even if will have this drop.
