Sony anounces 22.3 millon PS4 sold-in (shipped) at the end of March

[binary solo]

RolStoppable said:

kljesta64 said:
so it wont reach 40 million by years end ?

Seems pretty safe to say.

Sony doesn't expect it to happen, their forecast puts the PS4 at 38.3m shipped by the end of March 2016. So sell-through by the end of this year should be around the 35m mark, if sales are in line with Sony's forecast.

Oooh I've been waiting to see Sony's projections for this FY. So they are projecting ~16 million shipped for this FY, which is ~2 million more than the FY just gone. PS4 is running at about 20% down YoY to the end of March I hear. Until there's a price cut there's no reason to think PS4 won't stay about 20% down for the first part of this FY.

So without a price cut one would expect PS4 to ship 11-12 million for the FY. But they are projecting 16 million which is about 15% YoY growth. It is also 33% more than what we could expect with no price cut. 16 million shipped is not an astronomical increase, even considering they will be turning around a start that is down YoY.  So despite earlier saying I think they will cut by $100, I think a 16 million shipped projection suggest more like a $50 cut, with a decent number of holiday goodies.

I also think their projections would have been a bit higher if Uncharted 4 was on track to release this year.

I was actually looking for a 20% YoY increase with shipments of 17 million+. That still may happen of course, but right now Sony's projections are lower than I was expecting. PS4 achieving a 20 million year is looking slightly shaky unless it beats Sony's projections for this year and there is a second $50 price cut in 2016.

35 million sell through by the end of 2015 sounds pretty close to being right if sales follow projections. I might have highballed that too by estimating 36 million (or more, I can't remember, someone should resurrect that thread where people gave PS4 2015 estimates).

I think Sony is trying to play it safe with its projections to make sure PS4 sales do not come in less than what they project. So there is a reasonable chance that shipments and sales will be higher when we get to this point in 2016.