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I think you are correct... but i sure hope you are incorrect... cause a new console in 2017 will be a big mistake from Nintendo. Unless the thing is a total "revolution" in gameplay experience, something big like games whit mind control helmets, it will be the console that came 4 years later, and not the next gen that will set PS4/X1 as "things of the past"...

I hope Nintendo will hold NX realese to 2018 and i think they should time their "nintendo new console" whit "microsoft new console" and put a end to this gen dominated by PS4 early.