Sulla that prediction you cited would translate like this (assuming a 33 million console market in Japan, a 72 million market for Eur/Others, and a 100 million market for the USA) by 2012:
PS3 - 90 mill
360 - 72.27 mill
Wii - 42.65
That goes along pretty well with the line of thinking where Nintendo & Microsoft are stronger this time around while Sony is weaker..
They have the right idea, but I think their percentages are pretty screwed up...360 isn't going to triple Microsoft's worldwide marketshare, not at that price, and with the limits in Japan. It may double it's market though, which is still quite impressive.
Wii looks like it's market is going to be 4x or more than GC's Japan market..the Americas should see 2-3x the GC market. The real growth potential is in Europe where I think Wii could grow as big as Sony's former consoles..
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
