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Imo, Halo 5 will sell a lot better than Uncharted 4 first year, but lifetime Uncharted 4 will have a better legs.
The difference will be around ~500,000 lifetime.
My prediction:
Halo 5: 8,000,000
Uncharted 4: 7,500,000

And nope, i dno't see Halo 5 to sell 7,500,000 first year... nothing Halo have sold this number's.