I think pre E3 06...no, I didn't think Nintendo had a chance in Hell. But as you said, after that E3 all bets were off. It didn't help that Sony had one of the worst E3 performances in E3 history that year.
I did expect to see the 360 make inroads, but I didn't foresee what I consider to be catastrophic problems (at least in pr/market perception terms) with the dependability of their machine. Of course, the fact that they have failed to diversify their genre portfolio has been more of an Achilles heel than the RROD.
I expected the 360 and the PS3 to fight for the same marketshare....and so far that has been true. Of course the release of Home/LBP could really help to sway that demographic.
Edit...Welcome to VGChartz.







