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I think looking at previous numbers is foolish to do now. The PS4 has a crazy advantage in install base which the PS3 never did. And Uncharted has grown in popularity with every iteration. I think the lack of exclusives thus far, the "from the developers of The Last of Us" tag, and a large marketing budget and Uncharted 4 takes the win on this one. Halo 5 will do well too, and will prob increase XOne sales, but the install base is too far behind right now and Halo has lost some if it's popularity to COD for me to think it can launch this fall against another FPS and have just as good of sales as Uncharted 4. Lifetime, I will say Uncharted holds the lead by a Mil or so at the end.