Can the PS4 really outsell the PS2?

[Dr.Vita]

Ryng_Tolu said:

Dr.Henry_Killinger said:

No.

The only possible way for the PS4 to beat the PS2 is:

Total current console market size at least greater than or equal to that of total ps2 sales and PS4 having a greater percentage of the distribution the closer the current market size is to PS2 sales.

I.e

If TCCMS was 200 mil, PS4 would need approx 75%. This is basically the PS2's scenario

If TCCMS was 150 mil, PS4 would need approx 100%

Since PS4 is current around 50%, all else equal TCCMS would need to hit 300 mil

Keep in mind last gen topped at around 270 mil

PS4 is NOW at 50% of market, but you think that the trend will be this forever?

I think that PS4 will have 2/3 of  total market (66%)

PS4: 100M

XBO: 32M

WiiU: 18M

This would be 75% marketshare, wouldn't it? 
And Xbox One seems low imo, it did already 10M after the first year and this year and the next years could be even bigger if Microsoft continues with these price cuts.