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Materia-Blade said:
Soundwave said:

My metric ... take whatever some Nintendo fans predict for sales and chop a generous 30%-40% or so off that number to get what will happen in reality.

There's always gross overinflation of sales expectations of Nintendo games here I think even VGC gets caught up in it, that's why the Wii U and 3DS are often times overtracked big time.

It's coming fairly late in the Wii U life cycle too, that will limit its sales potential. Zelda: WW (GCN), Zelda: TP (Wii), Zelda: OoT (N64), Zelda: LttP (SNES) were already out in the launch alligned time frame for their platforms by now. That art style is not going to help it sell either, sorry, but the more cartoony styled Zelda games just don't sell and particularily in the modern marketplace ... good luck with that (not saying I approve of that POV, but that's just the reality of the market). 

Even MS had big problems selling something like Sunset Overdrive, which is a third person shooter that had a fairly large marketing campaign behind it, I think the more cartoony art style hurt it. Mario Kart can get away with it because its Mario, but if you're making a "serious" action-adventure game, it's a detriment. 

Funny for you tu say that when more often than not, wii u titles are selling more than people's predictions.

Oh, and 3 years into the console's life is not late.


Not really. Most people just quietly forget or don't mention some of the more outrageous predictions. 

On the Nintendo side of the board many people were still predicting 30-40 million Wii Us not even that long ago, that went quiet real fast.

Three years into a life cycle is less time for the new Zelda to sell than any of the other Zeldas I listed, so it is coming later. Not that I really think that would make a huge difference. 

The other problem for Zelda U is I don't see any better than 400k in Japan, it's not that huge in Europe either. It ain't selling 3 million alone in North America. 5 mill ain't happening.