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750k first week, with it ending up around 3.5 million is my pick. I agree it'll get a bit of a boost as the first PS4 exclusive in a while regardless of the review scores, but if the review scores are good (I'm not optimistic) then word of mouth may carry it further, not unlike what happened to TLOU (but not to the same scale).

Having no multiplayer will hurt sales slightly, especially if review scores aren't great because people will hold off to get it second hand.