binary solo said:
Thgat's a bold claim. Generally speaking the peak year for a console is year 3 or 4. DS peak year was year 4 PSP peak year was year 4 Wii Peak year was year 2 PS3 peak year was year 5 360 peak year was year 6 Average peak year for gen 7 was year 4. Wii did 16 million in year 1 and peaked at 24 million in year 2 and did 21 million in year 3. PS4 did 14 million in year 1 (87.5% of Wii) if it manages a similar ratio for years 2 and 3 (though with a peak in year 3 rather than year 2) that means ~39 million across years 2 and 3 with year 2 probably being about 18 million and year 3 being about 21 million. One year above 20 million is very likely. |
Yes but I don't think we will see that much growth YOY, simply because Sony are more interested in making profit of the PS4 than to aim for sales of 20mn+/year. PS3 is still priced quite high for a console that has essentially been replaced and as long as PS4 dominates, there is no reason to drop its price. We might see a gain this year of 10% and a more significant gain next year with a remodel, but after that it will drop off quite a bit since the market just isn't there for dedicated gaming machines like before.
